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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 64'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 1 5 3 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.45
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.3 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
41 15 1.03 13 1.03 1 - - - - 1.57 2.38 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.3% | EV +48.0% | ROI +52.4% | n=61 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.9% | ROI +1.2% | n=61 | k=2.38
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.4% | EV -8.4% | ROI -9.9% | n=61 | k=1.57
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.7% | EV -5.9% | ROI -15.2% | n=61 | k=3.45
AI-agent: At 64 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, with Bologna applying pressure recently. The score aligns with the match flow, though both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting on 23.08.2025, which ended 1-0. Historical data strongly supports a Roma handicap -1 bet, showing an 88.5% win rate and a 52.4% ROI over 61 matches. The model confirms this with a 26.3% edge and 48.0% expected value at odds of 1.82, but no new bet is advised as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is the best betting opportunity currently, but risk should be managed carefully given the ongoing pressure from Bologna.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 64