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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 1 5 3 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.45
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.3 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 15 1.03 15 1.03 1 - - - - 1.67 2.2 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.5% | EV +48.3% | ROI +56.2% | n=63 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.9% | ROI +1.3% | n=63 | k=2.20
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.1% | EV -8.4% | ROI -10.1% | n=63 | k=1.67
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.9% | EV -5.0% | ROI +1.1% | n=63 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At the 66th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0 and the home team is applying pressure, though both sides are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap on Roma, with a 90.7% win rate and a 56.2% ROI over 63 matches, confirming the model's edge of +26.5% and expected value of +48.3%. The current odds of 1.82 for AH_AWAY-1 represent a valuable bet, but no new position is opened as this bet is already active or covered in the portfolio. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals and -1.5 handicap on Roma do not show positive expected value, so this is the best risk-controlled opportunity to consider now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 66