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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 67'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 1 5 3 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.55
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.27 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 15 1.03 15 1.03 1 - - - - 1.73 2.1 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.6% | EV +48.6% | ROI +56.7% | n=61 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.1% | ROI +6.7% | n=61 | k=2.10
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.0% | EV -8.6% | ROI -15.1% | n=61 | k=1.73
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.0% | EV -6.9% | ROI -24.3% | n=61 | k=3.55
AI-agent: At 67 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, with Bologna applying pressure in the latest phase but both teams playing at a slower pace than their last encounter. Historical data supports a strong advantage for Roma on the -1 Asian Handicap, with a 90.6% win rate and a 56.7% ROI over 61 matches, confirming a reliable edge. The model confirms this bet with a 26.6% edge and 48.6% expected value at odds of 1.82, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held or covered. The best betting opportunity remains on Roma -1 AH, while other markets show no value, indicating this is a controlled risk scenario rather than a mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 67