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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.5	2.2	1.62
Away	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	2.25	1.65	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9	4.33	1.4	2.75	1.2	1.07	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.3% | EV +9.4% | ROI +15.7% | n=139 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.7% | EV +4.8% | ROI +6.8% | n=139 | k=2.75

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.3% | ROI -12.9% | n=139 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI +12.2% | n=139 | k=1.62

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the match, Roma leads 1-0 against Bologna, but there is no clear dominance in play or sustained pressure from either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 0-0 at this stage and ended 1-0. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support a home win bet, showing a negative ROI and failing the reliability check. The model identifies a potential value in betting on a Bologna win with an edge of +5.0% and expected value of +44.6%, but entry conditions are not met due to current score and match tempo. The top recommended markets suggest watching Asian Handicap +1 for the home team and Double Chance 1X, both with moderate positive edges, but no strong bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised with risk control in mind.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 12