Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	2.85	1.48	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.6	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3	3.75	1.25	1.36	1.67	1.1	7	1.45	2.67	2.38	1.55	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.3% | EV +31.1% | ROI +28.2% | n=1542 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.2% | EV +7.0% | ROI +12.4% | n=1542 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.0% | ROI +14.2% | n=1542 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.3% | ROI +2.8% | n=1542 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is neutral with no strong odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not clearly favor either side. The home team has had more pressure recently, but both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting in December 2025, which ended 3-1 to Fiorentina. Historical data from 1542 similar matches shows a 34.2% advantage for away wins with a positive ROI of 28.2%, supporting a potential Sassuolo victory at odds of 3.75 and an edge of +8.3%. However, the model’s entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring the away win and related bets with moderate expected value and risk control, making this a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 23