Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	14	4	10	4	-	-	2.85	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	1	9	3	-	-	-	2.5	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	1.8	5.5	1.14	1.91	1.33	1.77	2.1	5	1.17	17	1.02	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.8% | EV +31.9% | ROI +33.8% | n=386 | k=1.40

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.4% | EV +35.4% | ROI +42.5% | n=386 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.9% | EV +29.3% | ROI +27.7% | n=386 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +8.5% | EV +15.1% | ROI -4.8% | n=386 | k=1.77

AI-agent: At 72 minutes with a 0-0 scoreline, the market shows strong support for a draw, reflected by a 42% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Fiorentina leads in shots and overall activity, though Sassuolo has applied pressure recently. Historical data strongly favors under 3.5 goals with a 95.6% success rate and a 33.8% ROI, confirming the reliability of this trend. The model identifies under 3.5 goals as the best option with a 22.8% edge and 31.9% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring under 3.5 goals and away team bets, indicating a watchful approach rather than a mandatory stake, emphasizing risk control in this balanced match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 72