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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 13'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 2.85 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.38 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.2 3.2 3.5 1.28 1.33 1.61 1.06 10 1.3 3.5 2.02 1.82 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.2% | EV +32.3% | ROI +25.2% | n=1994 | k=3.50
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.6% | EV +5.8% | ROI +8.3% | n=1994 | k=1.61
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.1% | ROI +8.5% | n=1994 | k=1.82
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +6.0% | ROI +7.2% | n=1994 | k=3.50
AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter. Historical data from nearly 2,000 similar situations favors an away win with a 35.8% probability and a solid ROI of 25.2%. The model identifies a value bet on Sassuolo to win at 3.50 odds with a 9.2% edge and 32.3% expected value, but entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring this opportunity rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation before committing.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 13