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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 14'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 2.85 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.38 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.2 3.1 3.4 1.3 1.33 1.61 1.07 9 1.33 3.4 2.02 1.77 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.7% | EV +29.7% | ROI +20.8% | n=1940 | k=3.40
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.3% | EV +6.9% | ROI +8.6% | n=1940 | k=1.61
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +2.5% | ROI +7.0% | n=1940 | k=1.77
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +6.9% | ROI +6.2% | n=1940 | k=3.40
AI-agent: At 14 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without strong pre-match odds shifts, and shot data does not clearly favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 3-1 to Fiorentina. Historical data from 1940 similar matches shows a 35.5% probability for an away win with a positive ROI of 20.8%, and the model indicates an 8.7% edge and 29.7% expected value for a Sassuolo win at odds of 3.40. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Monitoring the away win and double chance on Sassuolo is advised, but caution is recommended given the balanced game dynamics and no clear market signal.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 14