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Match Replay

Step 72 of 81. Current minute: 86 .
Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Como | 26.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Genoa 0:2 Como
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 1 5 2 - - - - 1.8 7
Away 2 0 0 8 2 6 3 - 1.1 2.05 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
351 41 1 2.25 1.22 1.12 - - - - 3.5 1.3 21 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.5% | EV +66.7% | ROI +99.5% | n=154 | k=2.05
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -6.9% | ROI +6.4% | n=154 | k=1.30
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.7% | ROI -36.4% | n=154 | k=3.50
4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -25.8% | EV -58.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=154 | k=2.25
AI-agent: At the 86th minute in Genoa vs Como, the market strongly favors the away team with a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels, reflecting their 2-0 lead and shot dominance. The match pace is slower than their last encounter, and no sustained pressure is seen recently. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Como with a perfect 100% win rate over 154 matches and an excellent ROI of 99.5%. The model confirms this bet with a 32.5% edge and 66.7% expected value at odds of 2.05, though no new position is opened as it is already covered in the portfolio. This is the best bet opportunity here, but given the late stage and current score, risk should be managed carefully. Other markets show no value and are not recommended to bet on now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 86