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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	4.4
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	2	-	1.2	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	21	1.01	21	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	1.98	1.88	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.5% | EV +64.5% | ROI +84.0% | n=173 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -6.8% | ROI +11.6% | n=173 | k=1.88

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.7% | ROI -20.1% | n=173 | k=1.98

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.8% | EV -3.7% | ROI -28.8% | n=173 | k=4.40

AI-agent: At the 73rd minute, Como leads Genoa 2-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels, reflecting Como's confirmed dominance in shots. The historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap for Como, showing a 95.4% win rate and an 84% ROI over 173 similar matches. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +31.5% and expected value of +64.5%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is the best betting opportunity currently, but risk management should be considered. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals and home handicap show no value and are not recommended for betting now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 73