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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	4.4
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	2	-	1.2	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	21	1.01	21	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.02	1.82	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.5% | EV +64.7% | ROI +85.4% | n=175 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.8% | EV -6.9% | ROI +8.5% | n=175 | k=1.82

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.8% | ROI -17.8% | n=175 | k=2.02

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.0% | EV -4.4% | ROI -32.1% | n=175 | k=4.40

AI-agent: At the 74th minute in Genoa vs Como, the market strongly favors the away side with the handicap -1, reflecting a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Como leads 2-0 and confirms their dominance in shots, although recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data supports betting on AH_AWAY-1 with a 96.1% win rate and an 85.4% ROI over 175 matches, and the model shows a significant edge of +31.5% and expected value of +64.7%. The best bet here is AH_AWAY-1 at odds of 2.05, but note that no new position is opened as it may already be covered. This is a strong candidate for betting with controlled risk, while other markets like under/over 2.5 goals or home handicap do not present value currently.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 74