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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	4.5
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	2	-	1.19	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	23	1.01	23	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.2	1.7	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.8% | EV +65.1% | ROI +91.0% | n=171 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.0% | EV -6.8% | ROI +8.4% | n=171 | k=1.70

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.6% | ROI -20.2% | n=171 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.3% | EV -6.0% | ROI -47.4% | n=171 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 77th minute, Como leads Genoa 2-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure clearly favors the away side, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting Como's dominance in shots and overall control. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap for Como, showing a 98.1% win probability and an impressive 91% ROI over 171 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +31.8% and expected value of +65.1%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a strong candidate for backing Como -1, but risk management should be considered given the current score and game flow. Other top markets do not present value at this time, so monitoring remains prudent.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 77