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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	4.5
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	2	-	1.19	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	23	1.01	23	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.1	1.77	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.7% | EV +65.0% | ROI +88.1% | n=172 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.7% | EV -6.6% | ROI +9.4% | n=172 | k=1.77

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.5% | ROI -19.4% | n=172 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.2% | EV -5.3% | ROI -39.8% | n=172 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 76th minute in Genoa vs Como, the market strongly favors the away team, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels reflecting their 2-0 lead. Como confirms their dominance in shots, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Como with a 96.8% win rate and an 88.1% ROI, indicating strong value at current odds of 2.05. The model confirms this bet with a 31.7% edge and 65.0% expected value, but no new bet is opened as the position is already held or covered. This is a recommended bet with controlled risk based on solid historical and live match evidence.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 76