Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	2.35	2.3	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.6	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.4	6	1.12	1.3	2.1	1.11	6.5	1.52	2.42	2.6	1.48	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.6% | EV +16.7% | ROI +40.1% | n=1285 | k=1.57

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +15.3% | EV +91.6% | ROI +97.5% | n=1285 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.3% | EV +34.2% | ROI +44.8% | n=1285 | k=2.10

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.7% | EV +13.9% | ROI +30.3% | n=1285 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Atalanta vs Genoa match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market trends show strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly favor either side. Genoa is more active compared to their last meeting, while Atalanta is below their usual level. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap for Genoa with an 88.9% win rate and a 40.1% ROI over 1285 matches. The model confirms this bet with a 10.6% edge and 16.7% expected value at odds of 1.57, though no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered. This is the recommended bet with controlled risk, while other options like away win or double chance are on watch for now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 30