Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	2.35	2.35	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	1.57	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.25	5.5	1.14	1.33	2	1.11	6.5	1.55	2.38	2.67	1.45	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +11.3% | EV +17.8% | ROI +40.1% | n=1285 | k=1.57

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +15.6% | EV +85.8% | ROI +81.1% | n=1285 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.2% | EV +32.4% | ROI +37.9% | n=1285 | k=2.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.9% | EV +14.1% | ROI +28.6% | n=1285 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Atalanta vs Genoa match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Genoa is more active compared to their last meeting, while Atalanta is below their usual level. Historical data strongly supports a +1.5 handicap on Genoa with an 88.9% win rate and 40.1% ROI over 1285 matches. The model confirms this bet with an 11.3% edge and 17.8% expected value at odds of 1.57, though no new position is opened as this bet is already in the portfolio. Among top markets, the +1.5 handicap on Genoa is the best bet with controlled risk, while other options like away win or double chance are on watch for potential opportunities.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 30