Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	6	4	2	-	2.35	1.82	1.23	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	4	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	2.1	7.5	1.08	1.67	1.61	1.53	2.5	3.5	1.3	10	1.06	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.9% | EV +42.3% | ROI +48.8% | n=453 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.1% | EV +79.2% | ROI +73.9% | n=453 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.9% | EV +19.3% | ROI +25.1% | n=453 | k=1.61

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +7.6% | EV +11.7% | ROI -8.0% | n=453 | k=1.53

AI-agent: At 65 minutes in a goalless match between Atalanta and Genoa, the market strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping 53% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Atalanta is more active in shots and tempo, applying pressure in the recent phase, though the score remains 0-0. Historical data supports a +1.5 away handicap for Genoa with a 94.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 48.8%, confirming a reliable edge. The model confirms this bet with a 26.9% edge and 42.3% expected value at odds of 1.57, but no new position is opened as this bet is already in the portfolio. The best betting opportunity is on AH_AWAY+1.5, balancing good value and risk control, while other markets suggest monitoring rather than immediate entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 65