Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	6	4	2	-	2.35	1.82	1.22	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	4.15	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	2.05	8	1.08	1.67	1.61	1.57	2.38	3.75	1.28	11	1.05	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.9% | EV +42.3% | ROI +48.8% | n=453 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.1% | EV +79.1% | ROI +73.9% | n=453 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +43.7% | n=453 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.9% | EV +19.1% | ROI +25.1% | n=453 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 65 minutes, the match between Atalanta and Genoa remains goalless with Atalanta showing more attacking pressure. The market strongly favors a draw, reflected in a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap on Genoa with a 94.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 48.8%. Our model confirms this with a 26.9% edge and 42.3% expected value, though no new bet is opened since this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Genoa +1.5 with controlled risk, while other options like AH_AWAY+1 and under 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 65