Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	11	6	5	3	-	2.35	1.82	1.22	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	1	-	-	-	4.15	2.02	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	2	8.5	1.07	1.73	1.57	1.61	2.3	4	1.25	11	1.05	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.1% | EV +42.8% | ROI +50.4% | n=399 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +39.4% | EV +79.8% | ROI +76.9% | n=399 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +26.4% | EV +39.6% | ROI +43.6% | n=399 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.5% | EV +16.5% | ROI +24.8% | n=399 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 70 minutes in this goalless match between Atalanta and Genoa, the market strongly favors a draw, with the odds dropping 56% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Atalanta has been more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, but the score remains 0-0. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, with a 95.5% win rate and a solid ROI of 50.4%. The model confirms this bet with an edge of +27.1% and expected value of +42.8%, although no new position is opened as this bet is already covered in the portfolio. The top recommended bet is AH_AWAY+1.5 at 1.57 odds, offering a good risk-reward balance. Other markets like AH_AWAY+1, Under 3.5, and Double Chance X2 are on watch for potential opportunities but are not mandatory entries now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378204 | minute: 70