Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	-	-	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.38	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	2.62	3.75	1.25	1.44	1.5	1.22	4.33	1.95	1.9	4	1.25	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.7% | EV +21.2% | ROI +2.1% | n=621 | k=3.75

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.2% | ROI +5.6% | n=621 | k=1.90

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.4% | ROI +1.0% | n=621 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.3% | ROI -13.3% | n=621 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 35 minutes into the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw with odds dropping 15% from pre-match, yet the home side shows more attacking activity and tempo is slightly lower than their last meeting. Historical data from 621 similar matches supports an away win with a 27.2% probability and a positive ROI of 2.1%, confirming a fair value odds around 3.67. The model suggests a potential bet on an away win at odds 3.75 with an edge of +5.7% and expected value +21.2%, but this edge is just below the minimum threshold of +6.0%, so no bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring situation where the away win is the best candidate, but risk control recommends waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 35