Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	2	2	4	-	-	-	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	2.5	3.75	1.25	1.5	1.5	1.28	3.75	2.08	1.73	4.5	1.2	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +21.0% | ROI +6.9% | n=547 | k=3.75

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.2% | ROI +3.9% | n=547 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.4% | ROI -11.2% | n=547 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.1% | EV -7.1% | ROI +3.8% | n=547 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 40th minute in the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring a draw, with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels, but the home side is more active in shots and tempo recently. Historical data shows a moderate edge for an away win with a 28.5% probability and positive ROI of 6.9%, supported by a solid sample of 547 matches. The model suggests betting on an away win with an expected value of +21.0%, but the edge is slightly below the minimum threshold, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation where the away win is the best candidate, but risk control recommends waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 40