Match Replay

Step 39 of 95. Current minute: 42 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 39 of 95 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	2	2	4	-	-	-	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	2.5	3.75	1.25	1.5	1.5	1.28	3.75	2.15	1.68	4.5	1.2	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.6% | EV +21.0% | ROI +3.4% | n=522 | k=3.75

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.2% | ROI +4.3% | n=522 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.4% | ROI -12.9% | n=522 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -7.1% | ROI +2.7% | n=522 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At 42 minutes with the score 0:0, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels, indicating strong market confidence in a balanced game. Bologna leads in shots and has been more active recently, but the match tempo is slower than their last encounter on 19.10.2025, where Cagliari won 2:0. Historical data from 522 similar matches favors an away win with a 27.6% probability and a positive ROI of 3.4%, confirming a fair value at odds around 3.62. The model suggests betting on an away win with an edge of +5.6% and expected value of +21.0%, but since the edge is slightly below the 6.0% threshold, no bet is recommended now. This is a monitoring situation; the away win remains the best candidate but requires more confirmation before placing a stake to manage risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 42