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Match Replay

Step 84 of 95. Current minute: 85 .
Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 85'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 10 4 6 7 - - - 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 2 - - - 2.9 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 1.33 10 1.06 3.25 1.17 3.25 1.35 21 1.01 2.25 1.62 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +28.7% | EV +46.6% | ROI +53.9% | n=190 | k=1.62
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +14.3% | EV +46.5% | ROI -0.8% | n=190 | k=3.25
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +1.5% | EV +5.0% | ROI -16.2% | n=190 | k=3.25
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -1.7% | EV -8.3% | ROI -27.5% | n=190 | k=4.75
AI-agent: At the 85th minute with a 0-0 scoreline, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 57% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, with Bologna showing more shot activity, though recently Cagliari has applied pressure. Historical data supports a total under 2.5 goals with a 94.7% win rate and a solid ROI of 53.9%, confirming a low-scoring pattern in similar situations. The model confirms an edge of +28.7% and an expected value of +46.6% for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered. This is a favorable scenario for under 2.5 goals, with risk controlled by existing portfolio coverage. Other markets like over 0.5 goals and double chance are on watch only, indicating monitoring rather than mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 85