Match Replay

Step 85 of 95. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	4	6	7	-	-	-	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	2	5	2	-	-	-	2.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5.5	1.28	11	1.05	3.5	1.14	3.5	1.3	26	1.01	2.25	1.62	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +28.7% | EV +46.6% | ROI +53.6% | n=182 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +14.5% | EV +50.8% | ROI +0.0% | n=182 | k=3.50

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.0% | ROI -15.4% | n=182 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -1.3% | EV -7.1% | ROI -21.4% | n=182 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 86th minute of this goalless Serie A match between Bologna and Cagliari, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 59% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Bologna has been more active in shots overall, though recently Cagliari has applied more pressure. Historical data supports a low-scoring outcome under 2.5 goals with a 94.5% probability and a strong ROI of 53.6%. The model confirms a valuable edge of +28.7% and expected value of +46.6% on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62. However, no new bet is advised now as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a recommended bet with risk control, while other markets suggest monitoring but no mandatory entries at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 86