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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 83'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 11 5 6 7 - - - 1.4 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 1 5 2 - - - 2.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 1.44 8.5 1.07 2.62 1.22 2.7 1.48 15 1.03 2.25 1.62 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +28.7% | EV +46.6% | ROI +54.3% | n=198 | k=1.62
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +12.7% | EV +34.2% | ROI -11.4% | n=198 | k=2.70
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.4% | ROI -27.1% | n=198 | k=2.62
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -2.2% | EV -9.0% | ROI -31.3% | n=198 | k=4.00
AI-agent: At the 83rd minute with a 0-0 scoreline, the market strongly favors a draw, showing a 53% drop from pre-match odds, indicating clear market pressure. Bologna has been more active in shots, but no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data supports under 2.5 goals with a 94.9% probability and a strong ROI of 54.3%, confirming the model's signal for under 2.5 goals with an edge of +28.7% and expected value of +46.6%. The best betting opportunity is on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, though no new bet is advised as this position is already covered. Other markets suggest monitoring but do not confirm a strong entry. This is a controlled risk situation favoring a cautious approach on total goals under 2.5.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 83