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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Cagliari | 03.05.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 84'   —   Bologna 0:0 Cagliari
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 11 5 6 7 - - - 1.4 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 1 5 2 - - - 2.85 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 1.4 9.5 1.06 2.75 1.2 2.9 1.43 19 1.02 2.25 1.62 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +28.7% | EV +46.6% | ROI +54.2% | n=196 | k=1.62
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +13.5% | EV +39.1% | ROI -6.8% | n=196 | k=2.90
3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.3% | EV -3.5% | ROI -25.6% | n=196 | k=2.75
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -1.8% | EV -7.7% | ROI -29.3% | n=196 | k=4.33
AI-agent: At the 84th minute of the Bologna vs Cagliari match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly supports a draw, reflected by a 55% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Bologna has been more active in shots, though no sustained pressure is evident in recent minutes. Historical data favors under 2.5 goals with a 94.9% probability and a solid ROI of 54.2%, confirmed by 196 similar matches. The model signals a strong edge (+28.7%) and expected value (+46.6%) for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, but no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back under 2.5 goals with risk control, while watching over 0.5 goals remains a monitoring option. Other bets like double chance or home win show negative edges and are not advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378205 | minute: 84