Match Replay

Step 10 of 73. Current minute: 12 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	1.82	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.2	2.02	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.4	3.6	2.62	1.44	1.25	1.5	-	-	1.05	11	1.3	3.5	1.93	1.93

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.4% | EV +42.0% | ROI +49.1% | n=338 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.6% | EV +27.9% | ROI +50.5% | n=338 | k=2.40

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +9.5% | EV +13.8% | ROI +20.9% | n=338 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.3% | ROI +9.9% | n=338 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At 12 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 47% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot dominance by Sassuolo. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1, with a 94% win rate and 49.1% ROI over 338 matches, confirming a reliable trend. The model identifies AH_HOME+1 as the best bet with a 25.4% edge and 42% expected value, but entry conditions based on score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets suggest watching AH_HOME+1, Home win, Double Chance 1X, and Under 3.5 goals, all showing positive edges but currently recommend monitoring rather than committing to a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 12