Match Replay

Step 16 of 73. Current minute: 20 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 16 of 73 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	-	-	-	1.68	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.15	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.5	3	1.36	1.28	1.57	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.4% | EV +45.2% | ROI +47.2% | n=424 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.5% | EV +25.9% | ROI +34.3% | n=424 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +8.4% | EV +11.4% | ROI +10.9% | n=424 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI +7.1% | n=424 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 20 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 50% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot dominance by Sassuolo. Historical data supports a strong edge for a +1 Asian Handicap on Sassuolo, showing a 93.5% win rate and a 47.2% ROI over 424 matches. The model identifies this bet with a 27.4% edge and 45.2% expected value, but entry conditions based on current match tempo and stats are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Top-4 markets also suggest monitoring the +1 AH on Sassuolo as the best option, with risk control advised given the ongoing match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 20