Match Replay

Step 17 of 73. Current minute: 22 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	-	-	-	1.68	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.15	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.5	3	1.36	1.28	1.57	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.8% | EV +45.9% | ROI +47.3% | n=432 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.5% | EV +25.9% | ROI +34.4% | n=432 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +8.4% | EV +11.4% | ROI +11.4% | n=432 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI +8.3% | n=432 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 50% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage in shots and tempo. Historical data strongly supports a +1 handicap for Sassuolo, showing a 93.4% win rate and a 47.3% ROI over 432 similar matches. The model identifies a +1 handicap bet with a 1.65 odds and a 27.8% edge, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this remains a watch situation. Top-4 markets also suggest monitoring the +1 handicap and home win options, while avoiding bets on under 3.5 goals due to negative expected value. Overall, this is a cautious monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 22