Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	-	-	-	1.7	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	3.5	2.88	1.36	1.28	1.53	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.0% | EV +46.1% | ROI +47.1% | n=446 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.5% | EV +26.4% | ROI +35.6% | n=446 | k=2.30

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +7.5% | EV +10.2% | ROI +10.9% | n=446 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI +6.8% | n=446 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Milan being the initial favorite. Sassuolo shows more shots and activity compared to previous encounters, while Milan is underperforming. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo with a 93.3% win rate and 47.1% ROI over 446 matches. The model sees a promising edge (+28.0%) and expected value (+46.1%) on this bet at 1.65 odds, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 AH for Sassuolo as the best option with risk control, while other bets remain under observation without mandatory entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 23