Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	2	1	0	-	-	-	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.5	3	1.36	1.28	1.57	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.3% | EV +46.7% | ROI +47.8% | n=459 | k=1.65

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +11.5% | EV +25.9% | ROI +33.8% | n=459 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +8.4% | EV +11.4% | ROI +11.7% | n=459 | k=1.36

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI +7.4% | n=459 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 24 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 50% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score. Sassuolo shows more shots and activity than Milan, though recent play lacks sustained dominance by either team. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1 bet, with a 93.8% win rate and 47.8% ROI over 459 matches. The model identifies this bet as the best option with a 28.3% edge and 46.7% expected value, but entry conditions based on score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the home handicap +1 and home win bets, but caution is warranted as this is not a mandatory entry moment.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 24