Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	0	-	2.35	1.65	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.2	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.5	9	1.07	1.18	3	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +54.0% | ROI +50.3% | n=497 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.2% | EV +8.2% | ROI +7.1% | n=497 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.7% | EV -6.0% | ROI +15.8% | n=497 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.6% | ROI -4.0% | n=497 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At 32 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 70% from pre-match levels. Sassuolo is pressing more aggressively, reflected in their shot advantage and current scoreline. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo with a 95.2% win rate and a 50.3% ROI, indicating strong value. The model shows a +32.7% edge and +54.0% expected value on this bet, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Monitoring the game closely is advised to manage risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 32