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Match Replay

Step 35 of 73. Current minute: 45 .
Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 45'   —   Sassuolo 1:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 1 - 2.42 1.68 1.65 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 - - 2.2 2.2 2.15 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.36 4.5 10 1.06 1.18 3 - - 1.2 4.5 1.88 1.98 3.75 1.28
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +54.1% | ROI +54.0% | n=467 | k=1.65
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.5% | EV +5.4% | ROI +11.4% | n=467 | k=1.52
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI +12.9% | n=467 | k=1.98
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.5% | EV -7.6% | ROI +19.6% | n=467 | k=2.15
AI-agent: At the 45th minute in Sassuolo's 1-0 lead over Milan, the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Sassuolo is pressing more effectively, reflected in their shot advantage and overall tempo, while Milan is underperforming compared to their usual standards. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo with a high success rate and strong ROI, but the model has not yet triggered a formal bet due to current match dynamics. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry, with the best value seen on Sassuolo +1 AH at 1.65 odds, suggesting potential but requiring cautious risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 45