Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	3	7	1	-	1.3	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	3.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	13	41	1	1.04	13	-	-	-	-	1.35	3.1	2.6	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.2% | EV +93.9% | ROI +14.3% | n=175 | k=3.45

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.7% | ROI +62.8% | n=175 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.8% | EV +38.2% | ROI +41.0% | n=175 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.3% | ROI -0.5% | n=175 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At 56 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 77% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot advantage. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo, showing a 100% win rate in 175 similar matches and a high ROI of 62.8%. Although the model identifies a +1 handicap bet with a 33.1% edge and 54.7% expected value, the entry conditions based on current tempo and score are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest watching the +1 and +1.5 handicaps for Sassuolo with positive edges, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 56