Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	3	7	1	-	1.32	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	3.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	13	41	1	1.04	11	-	-	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.42	1.52

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.7% | ROI +63.2% | n=177 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.4% | EV +87.0% | ROI +6.3% | n=177 | k=3.30

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.6% | EV +37.8% | ROI +42.4% | n=177 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.6% | ROI +0.8% | n=177 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 55 minutes in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels. Sassuolo is pressing hard, reflected in their shot dominance and active tempo, while Milan is underperforming compared to previous encounters. Historical data supports a strong edge on the home handicap +1, showing a 100% win rate and solid ROI, but the current model advises caution as entry conditions are not fully met yet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, with the best value seen on AH_HOME+1 at odds of 1.65, offering good expected value but requiring risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 55