Match Replay

Step 58 of 73. Current minute: 74 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	3	8	1	-	1.2	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	4.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	67	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	1.9	1.95	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.1% | EV +110.4% | ROI +22.5% | n=158 | k=4.40

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +64.2% | n=158 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.7% | EV +44.9% | ROI +50.3% | n=158 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI -3.7% | n=158 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 74 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Sassuolo, reflected by a 77% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot advantage. Historical data strongly supports a home handicap +1 bet with a 100% win rate in 158 similar matches and a high ROI of 64.2%. The model identifies a +33.1% edge and +54.6% expected value on this bet, but entry conditions are not fully met due to the match tempo and score dynamics, so no bet is advised now. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring home handicap options and caution on under 2.5 goals, indicating this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 74