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Match Replay

Step 66 of 73. Current minute: 86 .
Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Sassuolo 2:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 13 4 9 1 - 1.11 1.75 1.65 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 5 0 5 3 - - 2.2 2.2 2.12 6.6
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1 41 351 2 1.22 1.18 - - - - 3.25 1.35 19 1.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +43.7% | EV +87.4% | ROI +98.6% | n=148 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +64.6% | n=148 | k=1.65
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.9% | EV +47.1% | ROI +61.7% | n=148 | k=1.75
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -4.1% | ROI -0.6% | n=148 | k=1.35
AI-agent: At the 86th minute, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure clearly favors the home team, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their dominance in shots and overall tempo. Historical data strongly supports a double chance on Sassuolo (1X) with a 99.3% success rate and high ROI, although the model's entry conditions are not fully met yet. The top recommended bets suggest watching the 1X market with a notable edge and expected value, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet due to current match dynamics and risk control considerations.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 86