Match Replay

Step 67 of 73. Current minute: 87 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	1	-	1.11	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	5	0	5	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	6.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	41	351	2	1.22	1.18	-	-	-	-	3.35	1.32	21	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +43.7% | EV +87.4% | ROI +100.0% | n=150 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +65.0% | n=150 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.9% | EV +47.1% | ROI +62.5% | n=150 | k=1.75

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -4.6% | ROI -1.1% | n=150 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure clearly favors the home side, reflected by a 78% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows dominance in shots and tempo, confirming the scoreline. Historical data strongly supports a double chance on Sassuolo or draw (1X) with a 100% success rate in 150 similar matches, offering a significant edge and expected value. However, the betting window for 1X has closed after the 86th minute, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a betting opportunity now. Other top markets also suggest watching rather than betting, with under 2.5 goals showing negative expected value, indicating caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 87