Match Replay

Step 68 of 73. Current minute: 89 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	1	-	1.11	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	5	0	5	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	6.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	51	451	2	1.22	1.18	-	-	-	-	4.2	1.23	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +43.7% | EV +87.4% | ROI +100.0% | n=149 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +65.0% | n=149 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.9% | EV +47.1% | ROI +63.9% | n=149 | k=1.75

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +23.5% | EV +34.0% | ROI +43.4% | n=149 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At the 89th minute, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the home team, reflected by a 78% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo dominates shots and tempo, consistent with the scoreline. Historical data shows a perfect record for the home double chance (1X) in similar situations, with 149 wins out of 149 matches and a 100% ROI. Although the model indicates a strong edge (+43.7%) and expected value (+87.4%) for 1X at odds of 2.00, the entry window closed after the 86th minute. The top-4 markets suggest watching rather than betting now, as this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised despite the favorable statistics and market signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 89