Home Demo Matches Registration Help FAQ
Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 35'   —   Sassuolo 1:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 5 2 3 1 - 2.35 1.62 1.65 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 - - 2.2 2.2 2.25 1.57
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.75 10 1.06 1.17 3.25 - - 1.17 5 1.75 2.05 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +54.1% | ROI +50.9% | n=500 | k=1.65
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.3% | ROI +8.7% | n=500 | k=1.57
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.9% | EV -6.4% | ROI +19.2% | n=500 | k=2.25
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -4.6% | ROI -6.9% | n=500 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 35 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Sassuolo, reflected in a 70% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and shot dominance by the home side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home team with AH +1 handicap showing a 95.3% win rate and a 50.9% ROI over 500 matches. The model identifies AH_HOME+1 at 1.65 odds with a 32.8% edge and 54.1% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met due to the current match tempo and stats. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, suggesting cautious observation for potential opportunities as the game progresses.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 35