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Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 37'   —   Sassuolo 1:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 5 2 3 1 - 2.35 1.62 1.65 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 - - 2.2 2.2 2.25 1.57
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.75 10 1.06 1.17 3.25 - - 1.17 5 1.75 2.05 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +54.1% | ROI +52.0% | n=495 | k=1.65
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.3% | ROI +9.8% | n=495 | k=1.57
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.8% | EV -6.4% | ROI +20.5% | n=495 | k=2.25
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -4.6% | ROI -0.2% | n=495 | k=2.05
AI-agent: At 37 minutes in the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 70% from pre-match levels. Sassuolo is applying pressure and has the shot advantage, reflecting the current game flow. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap for Sassuolo with a 95.9% win rate and 52% ROI, indicating value. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules not being met for the current score and tempo. This is a watch situation with a promising edge but no mandatory bet recommended now, so risk control is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 37