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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	2.6	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.33	9.5	1.06	1.2	3	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.98	1.88	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.7% | EV +54.0% | ROI +54.0% | n=467 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.0% | ROI +7.7% | n=467 | k=1.48

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.9% | EV -6.2% | ROI +18.5% | n=467 | k=2.12

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.9% | ROI +7.2% | n=467 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At halftime, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0, with the market strongly favoring the home side as their odds have dropped by 70% from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows clear dominance in shots and tempo, reflecting their active play compared to previous encounters, while Milan is underperforming relative to their usual standard. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1, with a 97.4% win rate and a 54% ROI across 467 similar matches. Although the model identifies AH_HOME+1 as the best bet with a 32.7% edge and 54% expected value, the entry conditions are not fully met given the current score and match dynamics, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control advises monitoring the game closely before committing to this handicap market.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 45