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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	1	-	2.6	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.33	10	1.06	1.2	3	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.05	1.8	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +54.1% | ROI +54.7% | n=472 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.1% | ROI +6.6% | n=472 | k=1.48

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.9% | EV -6.2% | ROI +17.5% | n=472 | k=2.12

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.3% | ROI +5.6% | n=472 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 46 minutes, Sassuolo leads Milan 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 76% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo shows more shots and a higher tempo compared to their last meeting, while Milan is below their usual standard. Historical data strongly supports a +1 AH for Sassuolo with a 97.9% win rate and a 54.7% ROI, and the model indicates a significant edge of +32.8% and EV of +54.1%. However, the entry conditions for placing this bet are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk management suggests monitoring the match further before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 46