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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 70'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 21 6 15 13 - 1.98 1.82 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - - - 2.02 1.88
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 15 101 1 1.03 15 - - 1.68 2.15 4.33 1.22 13 1.04
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.8% | EV +25.3% | ROI +19.9% | n=80 | k=1.82
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.2% | EV +32.2% | ROI +19.5% | n=80 | k=1.88
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.0% | ROI -18.3% | n=80 | k=1.68
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.6% | EV -12.1% | ROI +10.2% | n=80 | k=2.15
AI-agent: At the 70th minute, Como leads 1-0 and controls the game, confirming their pre-match favorite status by shots. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME-1 market at odds 1.82, with historical validation over 80 matches showing a 19.9% ROI and 78.4% win probability. The model edge is +13.8% with an EV of +25.3%, but no new bet is opened due to an existing position or portfolio coverage. The current status is Watch; the market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation from tempo and home pressure.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 70