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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 72'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 21 6 15 13 - 2.05 1.82 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - - - 2.02 1.8
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 13 101 1 1.03 13 - - 1.7 2.1 4.5 1.2 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.4% | EV +19.1% | ROI +15.8% | n=79 | k=1.82
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +16.5% | EV +29.8% | ROI +20.8% | n=79 | k=1.80
3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI -20.4% | n=79 | k=1.70
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.8% | EV -12.2% | ROI +11.6% | n=79 | k=2.10
AI-agent: At the 72nd minute, Como leads 1-0 and controls the game, confirming their shot advantage. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME-1 market at odds 1.82, with historical validation over 79 matches showing a 15.8% ROI and a 74.3% win probability. The model edge is +10.4% with an EV of +19.1%, but no new bet is opened due to an existing position or portfolio coverage. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch, awaiting confirmation from continued home pressure or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 72