Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	2.62	2.2	1.61	1.44	1.2	1.25	4	2.05	1.8	4.33	1.22	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.1% | ROI -0.2% | n=189 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.5% | ROI +7.8% | n=189 | k=4.33

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.6% | ROI -5.3% | n=189 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.2% | ROI +23.4% | n=189 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 37th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is scoreless with balanced game control. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 2.05, where historical validation shows a weak ROI of -0.2% over 189 games. The model edge is +2.0%, below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation through stronger tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before entering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 37