Match Replay

Step 31 of 78. Current minute: 39 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	2.62	2.2	1.61	1.44	1.2	1.25	4	2.1	1.77	4.33	1.22	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.6% | ROI -3.9% | n=177 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.5% | ROI -2.1% | n=177 | k=4.33

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.1% | EV +2.8% | ROI -4.0% | n=177 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.2% | ROI +20.6% | n=177 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 39th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 2.10, where the model shows a slight edge of +2.2% and expected value of +4.6%, but historical validation with a -3.9% ROI does not support a bet. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation through increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 39