Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.32
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.3	1.5	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	6	1.14	5.5	1.12	1	-	-	2.02	1.82	7	1.1	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.9% | EV +32.2% | ROI -4.4% | n=79 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.2% | EV +9.5% | ROI -1.0% | n=79 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.1% | ROI -7.7% | n=79 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.3% | EV +7.2% | ROI -23.4% | n=79 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 72nd minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1 favoring the visitors. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap +1 market at odds 2.50, with the model edge at +12.9% and EV +32.2%, but historical validation is weak showing ROI -4.4% and a 35.5% win probability. There is no clear game or tempo dominance, nor shot pressure confirmation, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation on tempo, match stats, and score dynamics is needed before entering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 72