Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	0	8	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.23
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	4.1	1.65	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	6	1.12	6	1.12	1	-	-	2.4	1.6	11	1.05	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.6% | EV +58.9% | ROI -10.0% | n=72 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.4% | ROI -26.7% | n=72 | k=2.40

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.6% | ROI -50.0% | n=72 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -10.3% | ROI +11.1% | n=72 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 80th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1. The market is favoring the away side with the home +1 handicap odds dropping, but shot stats show no clear dominance, with the hosts more active recently. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME+1 market at 2.30 odds, with the model edge at +25.6% and EV +58.9%, yet historical validation is weak (ROI -10.0%) and entry conditions based on tempo and score are not met. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from tempo and match stats before betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 80