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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 11'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - - 1.52 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 2.42 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 3.5 1.8 1.91 1.28 1.17 1.08 8 1.4 3 2.25 1.62 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.3% | ROI -4.9% | n=350 | k=2.25
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -7.2% | n=350 | k=1.40
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -22.0% | n=350 | k=3.50
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.8% | EV -6.9% | ROI +3.2% | n=350 | k=2.42
AI-agent: At the 11th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.25, where the model edge is modest at +1.0% with an EV of +2.3%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -4.9%, which does not support placing a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shots pressure, or favorable odds movement before considering a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 11