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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.5	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.5	1.32	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.5	1.8	1.91	1.28	1.18	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.6	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.5% | ROI -5.3% | n=340 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.2% | EV -5.5% | ROI +5.0% | n=340 | k=2.50

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI -5.7% | n=340 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.5% | EV -6.7% | ROI -10.0% | n=340 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 12th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.30, where the model edge is modest at +1.1% with EV +2.5%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -5.3%, indicating weak support for a bet. The model edge is below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation through stronger tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 12